The threat posed by Iran has been grossly exaggerated

The threat posed by Iran has been grossly exaggerated

25 Apr 2006

The panel discuss the threat that Iran poses to democracy, the Middle East, and the world at large.

Arguing in favour of the motion ‘The threat posed by Iran has been greatly exaggerated’ are Iradj Bagherzade, Professor Ali Ansari and Martin Woollacott.

Iradj Bagherzade believes that the demonisation process of Iran is self-defeating and explains how the powers of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad are actually extremely limited. He suggests that Iran poses no immediate danger of obtaining nuclear warheads. Bagherzade would encourage a policy of involvement, not isolation, in Iran, and asserts the importance of the Iranian self-perspective.

Ali Ansari highlights the importance of addressing situations without hysteria and heightened emotion. He explains that in the absence of evidence, we invent threats, and that in the case of Iran, there is a sensitive issue at stake, but by exaggerating it we trivialise it.

Martin Woollacott explains that weapons don’t make wars, confrontations between nations do. He asks that cool heads be maintained and threats be measured, not inflated. Woollacott believes the real threat is anxiety in Washington, not the situation on the ground in Iran.

Arguing against the motion are Dr Mehrdad Khonsari, Dr Patrick Clawson and Roey Gilad.

Mehrdad Khonsari believes Iran is a bastion of Islamic fundamentalism and terrorism – the two largest threats to the modern world. He explains that the Islamic regime in Iran is an intimidating, blackmailing, brutalising and torturous force that should not be underestimated, as they will stop at nothing to remain in power.

Patrick Clawson discusses the potential of Iran to set off a Nuclear arms race, not only in the Middle East but across the world. He explains how foreign money and advice can make a productive – and positive – difference.

Roey Gilead outlines the history of terror since the revolution in Iran and the Iranian involvement with the Hezbollah in Israel. Gilead, unlike some other panelists, takes the President’s words seriously and believes Iran to be a threat to the region and to the world at large.

First vote: 253 For, 268 Against, 214 Don’t know

Final vote: 387 For, 293 Against, 77 Don’t know

The motion is passed by 94 votes.